Risk Disclaimer

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading stocks, futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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This Is A Custom Widget

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This Is A Custom Widget

This Sliding Bar can be switched on or off in theme options, and can take any widget you throw at it or even fill it with your custom HTML Code. Its perfect for grabbing the attention of your viewers. Choose between 1, 2, 3 or 4 columns, set the background color, widget divider color, activate transparency, a top border or fully disable it on desktop and mobile.

This Is A Custom Widget

This Sliding Bar can be switched on or off in theme options, and can take any widget you throw at it or even fill it with your custom HTML Code. Its perfect for grabbing the attention of your viewers. Choose between 1, 2, 3 or 4 columns, set the background color, widget divider color, activate transparency, a top border or fully disable it on desktop and mobile.

Monthly Archives: August 2013

Home » Blog » Archives for August 2013

Selling Short – Should you bother?

By | August 31st, 2013|Categories: Trading Strategies, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , |

Based upon my own testing across many markets, and articles I've read recently in trading publications, selling short is difficult even for the professional traders.  I recall George Soros saying that he lost more money selling stocks short than with any other strategy he's employed.  Of course, he has had renowned success in shorting currencies, which [...]

Are Gold and Silver the New Currencies?

By | August 26th, 2013|Categories: Market Comments, Trading Strategies, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , |

Over the years, the currency markets have been the "Go To" markets for trend followers and the big macro hedge funds, because they have been the best trending markets in the long run.  With just about any basic trend following strategy, these markets have generated pretty consistent profits. However, over the last five years since the [...]

Trend Following Lessons From Gold and Silver

By | August 25th, 2013|Categories: Trading Strategies, Trading Tactics, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , , , |

Over the last two plus years, trend followers have had a difficult time generating profits in the futures markets.  Due to a variety of factors, but mainly the lack of significant trends in currencies and interest rates, the performance of commodity trading advisors (CTAs) and macro hedge funds has been below par.  With this backdrop, it [...]

Trend Following Trading Strategies – The Pitfalls of Backtesting

By | August 15th, 2013|Categories: Futures Trading 101, Trading Strategies, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , , , |

Check out this video where I discuss some of the pitfalls of backtesting trading strategies.  This is just one of the difficulties faced by traders in the futures markets. [jwplayer file = "http://youtu.be/-5IWYnh-9ns"]

How Commodity Trading Advisors Approach Futures Trading

By | August 14th, 2013|Categories: Futures Trading 101, Trading Strategies, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , |

One of the big myths in the world of financial trading is that the big hedge fund managers and commodity trading advisors employ some type of magical trading system that churns out big returns year after year.  A simple review of the performance of some of these trading companies demonstrates that this could not be further [...]

Trading Strategy – Eliminating (Some) False Breakouts

By | August 13th, 2013|Categories: Futures Trading 101, Trading Strategies, Trading Tactics, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , |

If you employ a trend following strategy that utilizes channel breakouts, you WILL experience false breakouts.  There is really no way around this.  However, it IS possible to eliminate some of these false breakouts by taking the time to analyze chart structure. In fact, one of the discretionary criteria taught to the Turtles by Richard Dennis [...]

Trading Strategy – Anticipate Stops

By | August 11th, 2013|Categories: Trading Strategies, Trading Tactics, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , |

An individual trader can give themselves an edge in the futures markets in a variety of ways.  One way is to learn the mechanics of a variety of trading systems so that the trader can learn to anticipate when the algorithms will kick in and generate trades. Many of the trend following systems out there employ [...]

Changing Market Character Adversely Affects Systematic Traders

By | August 9th, 2013|Categories: Market Comments, Trading Strategies, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , , |

Over the last few years, it is clear that the overall character of the biggest markets, i.e., stocks, currencies, metals and interest rates, has changed dramatically.  The markets are much noisier than they used to be. This change in character was highlighted in a recent article published in Futures Magazine titled “Observations on the Death of [...]

Trend Following System Stop Loss

By | August 8th, 2013|Categories: Futures Trading 101, Trading Strategies, Trading Tactics, Trend Following General|Tags: , , , , , , , |

One of the key concepts in trading a trend following strategy is to "cut your losses short, let your profits run."  As such, many trend following systems are developed with an initial stop loss algorithm.  In the video below, I demonstrate how well Turtle Trading System 1 performs with a stop loss, and without an initial [...]

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